In 2006, Google launched Google Translate.
I remember it pretty clearly. Every translator I knew at the time was freaking out. The math seemed obvious. A machine can now translate 100 languages instantly, for free. So why would anyone pay a human for it anymore?
Some of them started looking at other careers right away.
Twenty years later.. the number of working translators in the US is UP 73%.
The story right now is loud. AI is going to take all the jobs. White-collar work is finished. Dario Amodei, the CEO of Anthropic, says half of all entry-level white-collar jobs are gone in five years.
Mustafa Suleyman, the CEO of Microsoft AI, says most white-collar work will be fully automated in 12 to 18 months.
Block laid off 4,000 people, around 40% of its workforce, and Jack Dorsey said it's because AI has changed how companies are built.
There's an actual billboard outside the New York Times office that reads "Stop Hiring Humans."
That's the soundtrack right now.
Then you look at the actual numbers..


